Which African Countries are at Risk of Missing SDG 3.2? Bayesian Mapping of Under-Five Mortality Using UNICEF 2024 Data
Using 2024 UNICEF data and Bayesian spatial forecasting, this study reveals that significant geographical inequalities persist across Africa, with 41 of 49 countries unlikely to achieve the SDG 3.2 under-five mortality target by 2030, highlighting the urgent need for prioritized interventions in high-risk regions like West Africa.